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TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ............................................................................................7

1.1 Barriers ..........................................................................................................................7
1.2 Memory .........................................................................................................................8
1.3 CPU ..............................................................................................................................8
1.4 Batteries and Power Consumption ..................................................................................8
1.5 Displays .........................................................................................................................9

2 DEVICE CAPABILITIES AND THEIR FUTURE EVOLUTION .............................11

2.1 Basic Requirements of UMTS Devices ...........................................................................11
2.2 User Expectations and Requirements ..............................................................................12
2.3 Categories of Devices .....................................................................................................13
2.3.1 Multifunctional Devices ................................................................................................13
2.3.2 Complementary Devices ..............................................................................................15
2.4 Miniaturisation ................................................................................................................16
2.5 Evolution of the Semiconductor Process ..........................................................................17
2.6 Evolution of Packaging Technology .................................................................................18
2.7 Multi-Dimensional Integration ..........................................................................................19
2.8 Memory Capacity ...........................................................................................................21
2.9 Processing Power ...........................................................................................................22
2.10 Consumption ................................................................................................................25
2.11 Multimode and Multiband Transceivers .........................................................................26
2.11.1 System Partitioning ....................................................................................................26
2.11.2 UMTS Modem Component Trends ...........................................................................26
2.11.3 Improved Baseband Processors ................................................................................27
2.11.4 Higher Levels of Integration .......................................................................................28

3 TRENDS IN COMPONENT TECHNOLOGY ...........................................................31

3.1 Display Technology ........................................................................................................31
3.1.1 Passive Matrix Displays ...............................................................................................32
3.1.2 Active Matrix Displays ................................................................................................33
3.1.3 Display Electronics ......................................................................................................35
3.1.4 Market Trends and Predictions ....................................................................................38
3.2 Input Devices .................................................................................................................39
3.2.1 Keyboards and Keypads .............................................................................................40
3.2.2 Other Keypad Factors ................................................................................................41
3.2.3 Pointing Devices ..........................................................................................................42
3.3 Cameras ........................................................................................................................43
3.4 Battery Technology ........................................................................................................44
3.4.1 Primary Batteries (Non-Rechargeable Batteries) ..........................................................45
3.4.2 Secondary Batteries ....................................................................................................45
3.4.3 Evolution of Energy Density .........................................................................................46
3.4.4 Future Battery Technologies ........................................................................................48
3.5 Memory Storage Devices ...............................................................................................50
3.5.1 Flash Memory Devices ................................................................................................50
3.5.2 Hard Disk Devices ......................................................................................................54
3.5.3 Other Memory Storage Devices ..................................................................................56
3.6 Smart Card Technology .................................................................................................58
3.6.1 Operating System Independent Programming Language ...............................................61
3.6.2 Java-Enabled Cards ...................................................................................................62

4 ABBREVIATIONS AND GLOSSARY........................................................................63

5 BIBLIOGRAPHY ..........................................................................................................75